11/20/2008

End the war or we'll cut off your allowance

My friend Philip floats the idea of conditional campaign donations (from thismodernworld.com)

Has anyone been discussing starting to put donations for Obama’s 2012 run in escrow, to be released upon the accomplishment of certain goals—eg, on Iraq, health care, energy, etc.?

It would take a ton of effort and wrangling to set up. And I haven’t thought it through at all, particularly the various legalities involved. Just off the top of my head, I think you’d have to set up a vote on whether he’d succeeded and the money could be released. I’d also guess you’d might have to require each person to specify a second choice organization for the money to go if Obama fails, so they wouldn’t just get it back and be able send it to the campaign anyway.

Interesting thought experiment but I don't think much more than that.  Accepting campaign donations contingent upon accomplishing certain goals amounts to making a pledge.  ("I take a pledge not to raise taxes", "I pledge to guarantee health care to every American", and so on.)  Perhaps they'd be even more coercive than mere pledges, since politicians tend to value cold, hard cash above that fluid, airy-fairy currency known as integrity.

So if conditional campaign donations are like pledges, only more effective, what's wrong with them?  They're a bad idea for the same reason that pledges are almost always a bad idea in politics.  A politician taking a pledge is performing an act of ideological hubris.  If elected, the politician needs to face changing real world conditions.  Fine, so you're a lefty that wants to ensure that America gets out of Iraq in X months.  But what about constantly changing facts on the ground over just the last year?  Do you really want to enforce such rigidity in foreign policy?  Foreign policy needs to be flexible and adaptive to be effective.  And if that doesn't bother you, imagine what the Republican activists would do with their conditional donations.  Republicans who wanted to get through the primary would undoubtedly need to pledge not to raise taxes.  (Many already do this, but don't currently have to put their money where their mouth is.)  But sometimes taxes need to be raised, no matter your ideology.  If George H.W. Bush had been beholden to a large sum of campaign cash in addition to that famous fiscal promise that rolled off his lips in 1988, would he still have raised taxes?  And if he hadn't, would the country be better or worse off?

Barack Obama faced a similar dilemma in the run up to this year's election.  Back in his days of ideological purity on campaign finance, he made a pretty clear promise to accept public funds in the general election if his Republican counterpart agreed to as well.  Then he built a staggering fundraising machine based on mostly small, grassroots internet donors.  The whole premise of public financing (preventing disproportionate power by a few moneyed interests) had been largely obviated.  But to carry this remarkably democratic donor base into the general election, Obama had to break his promise.  (His explanation for doing so, that the campaign finance system was "broken", was pretty lame.)  It was, in my view, the lowest point in his campaign.

It is understandable that the extremes of each party would welcome the opportunity to have a money-back guarantee.  Indeed, it's always a bit tragic watching our leaders have to voice squarely partisan views during the primary and then tack to the center in the general.  But the problem is not that elected leaders are insufficiently beholden to their base - it's that they're too beholden.  Just because the far-left/far-right position is articulated before the centrist position does not make it the more legitimate one.  It just makes it the first one. 

Comments

These are good points. I think there are a few questions - would pledges work, and are they a good idea - for the group trying to put them in, and the people in general. For some more food for thought, here's an NYT article from today, which I think shows the dynamic of tacking to the center post-election.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/29/nyregion/29marriage.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=Despite%20pledge,%20senate%20democrats%20may%20skip&st=cse

ALBANY — After a pledge from New York Democratic leaders that their party would legalize same-sex marriage if they won control of the State Senate this year, money from gay rights supporters poured in from across the country, helping cinch a Democratic victory.

But now, party leaders have sent strong signals that they may not take up the issue during the 2009 legislative session. Some of them suggest it may be wise to wait until 2011 before considering it, in hopes that Democrats can pick up more Senate seats and Gov. David A. Paterson, a strong backer of gay rights, would then be safely into a second term.

...

“The leadership of the [State] Senate and others in our community collected a lot of money from a lot of people with the promise — spoken and unspoken — that if the Democrats won the Senate, they would take a vote [on legalizing same-sex marriage],” [Assemblyman O'Donnell] said.

Posted by: Philip | 11/29/2008

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